SCIENCE PREDICTION MARKET PROJECT

Scientific research is all about the acquisition of information, the integration and dissemination of knowledge, and the generation of reliable predictions. It is also a deeply social process, with rules, practices and incentive structures that are dynamic and constantly negotiated within the community. This social dynamics of scientific research may lead to discrepancies between the objectives of scientific research and the incentives provided for the individual researchers to acquire and disseminate findings in an efficient, unbiased and undistorted way. It is therefore of importance to develop mechanisms that help ensuring that incentives and objectives of scientific research remain aligned.