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And yet, in a rarely matched piece of geo-strategic incompetence, Erdoğan is now in danger of simultaneously alienating Vladimir Putin. The issue is Idlib, the north-western Syrian province that is the last refuge of anti-Assad forces and a haven for 2.5 million internally displaced people. Putin wants Turkish support for the expected autumn offensive by Syrian, Iranian and Russian forces. Turkey fears another cross-border exodus of refugees. Erdoğan is also sticking to his buffer-zone idea. The result: a standoff that further underscores Turkey's international isolation and the sense of developing crisis.