UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS ELECTORAL COLLEGE STUDY

New research from the University of Texas Electoral College Study (UTECS) provides an answer, using Monte Carlo simulations that generate probability distributions over the likelihood of inversions in elections extending back to 1836... History tells us that Bush vs Gore 2000 was an inversion. The UTECS analysis tells us that this outcome was more likely than not, given the narrow Democratic margin of victory in the national popular vote. UTECS also tells us that more inversions are very likely in the future... UTECS analysis makes clear that more inversions are likely in 2020 and beyond. Inversions will be business-as-usual in close elections under the Electoral College system.

Also known as: utecs